Friday, May 16, 2008

Is the Sell-off in the British Pound Over?

The British pound has finally stabilized after gradually trending lower since the beginning of the month. Coincidently, the currency’s pair’s intraday low was exactly the same price as the low reached on February 20th, leading some technical traders to call the latest recovery a double bottom. Fundamentally, there was no UK data released yesterday and none expected today, which means that there is no major news to drive the British pound lower. The US data on the other hand could drive the dollar lower which coincides with the potential for a Pound US Dollar rally. However even though the currency pair could very well extend its gains over the next 24 hours, the British pound remains vulnerable to further losses especially if the housing market deteriorates further.

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