Wednesday, March 5, 2008

Canadians more wary of buying a home




OTTAWA -- The number of Canadians intending to buy a home is at the lowest level since 2002, according to RBC Royal Bank's annual homeownership survey released Tuesday.
The survey results indicated that overall those who "planned to buy a home" within the next two years has declined five percentage points to 23%. The number "very likely" to buy a home has fallen from 9% in 2007 to 7% in 2008 -- the lowest level since the survey began 15 years ago. The survey authors suggest there are signs of a slowdown in the housing market as the number of Canadian dollar buy now rather than waiting until next year fell from 58% in 2007 to 52% in 2008.
"I'm not surprised by the results. We've had a really long, strong real estate market and this is not a dramatic drop." said Catherine Adams, RBC Royal Bank's vice-president, home equity financing. "It's really just saying things are starting to cool down. People are ... being a bit more cautious."
Ms. Adams suggested that Canadians remained optimistic about the housing market -- but that they were merely less optimistic than last year. "I think it's a healthy economy, it's a very healthy real estate market, very healthy mortgage lending practices within Canada." said Ms. Adams. According to the RBC survey, 56% of respondents also anticipate house prices will rise. In 2007 that figure was 59%. More respondents also believe their mortgage rates will change. A total of 46% believe rates will rise compared with 43% in 2007. However, the numbers who anticipate a cut in the cost of their home loan rose seven percentage points to 23% in Tuesday's survey. Survey respondents in Quebec bucked the downward trend with those likely to buy a home in the next two years rising two percentage points to 21%. The numbers very likely to buy a home were at 9% in Saskatchewan and Manitoba followed by Alberta at 8%. Around 7% of respondents in B.C., Ontario and Quebec said they were very likely to purchase a home in the next two years with just 5% in Atlantic Canada saying they expected to be in the market for a home.
The online survey is based on a randomly selected representative sample of 3,023 adult Canadians. With a representative sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within plus or minus 1.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20

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